Mineev, A.M., Bellyustin, N.S.

Prognosticaion of shigellosis morbidity and possible solar activity influence on the epidemic process

Medical Academy, Radiophysical Research Institute, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia

The possibility of the quantitative prognostication of shigellosis morbidity with the use of the artificial neuron network (ANN), instructed by the reverse spread of error, was shown. On the basis of the available data the average error of the prognosis was ≈30%. Estimation of the influence on the shigellosis morbidity with solar activity the use of ANN presented no new arguments in favor of such influence.
Zh. Mikrobiol. (Moscow), 2006, No. 2, P. 18—20